Thursday, 2 February 2012

Video: Will Romney face problems in Nevada?



>>> and despite mitt romney 's 14-point win over newt gingrich , romney could have some issues as he's heading into nevada . his problems could be seen with some of the more conservative . take a look at some of the numbers out there. in florida , 33% describe themselves as very conservative . about the same, 36% describe themselves as somewhat conservative . but take a look at the numbers when you break it down. of the very conservative voters we saw last night, 41% support newt gingrich . that's an 11-point advantage for gingrich . also our exit poll information gave us another hint where mitt romney might need to improve. 41% of voters said romney 's position are not conservative enough. 38% said they want to see someone else get in the race for the nomination. and get this, that includes 32% of mitt romney 's own voters. and joining me now to talk more about it, steve dayson who is also an endorser of newt gingrich . steve, thank you so much for joining me. greatly appreciate it.

>> thank you, tamron. appreciate you having me back.

>> i've got to to you about this number. 38% want to see someone else run. they went in, they voted, they came out and spoke with our exit poll people and said they want someone else in this race. you're a conservative . help me understand, who are you looking for in maybe not you because you like newt. who are these people looking for in.

>> well, i this i what they're looking for is someone that doesn't have to resort to scorched earth tactics to win but can actually run on a conservative record and can communicate it in a way that actually rallies the nation to conservative values and issues and also has the resources to show that they can put a professional organization on the ground. and i think that will everything i just mentioned, there's a few candidates that represent a couple of the facets of the composite that the people want, the ideal composite, but since that ideal composite is not there, you have some of the buyer's remorse indicated in your exit polling .

>> let me talk to you about newt. obviously he took a pounding yesterday. he did not do well with women especially. he didn't do great with men either. but he really got beat up from women voters i might say, just toe so speak here. what does he need to do in nevada ?

>> i think what newt's got to get back to, he's got to get back on offense. i think there was too much talk about how much he's being hammered, all the negative ads very reminiscent of the last time he surged as the front-runner position. he at his best when he is playing offense. you know, newt is sort of the charles barclay of political candidates. barclay once said i ain't on this league to play defense. newt is best with the ball in his hands dribbling towards the basket. when he's trying to get back on defense, that's not his best. he's got to get back on offense and get back on offense in those southern states where romney is going to have a lot of trouble winning delegates.

>> did you see any indication of that happening with his speech last night? he didn't call mitt romney and congratulate him. in his speech, he talked about all these grand things he would do following his inauguration. is he playing that offense that you say he needs to play?

>> i think that's a good first step. i think newt is at his best. here's one some things we've learned about the three main republican candidates in this race. rick santorum is at business heft attacking romney . romney at his best attacking gingrich , gingrich attacking mediaen at issues. when those three candidates are doing those things, they're at their best. rick santorum was really good in the two debates especially in the second. romney was really good if florida going after newt gingrich hard. some of it was out of bounds but hey, you know, we're big boys . put on your big boy britches and take it. newt is at his best when he gave speeches like he gave last night.

>> as i understand, at least what i've read, newt is not out with any ads yet in nevada . what does that say?

>> i think what it says is you're dealing with a state that has only 2 delegates that are proportional allocation. where their nomination is going to be decided, the republican party is a southern party . if you do the delegate math, i count at least 600 southern delegates that i don't believe arithmetic mitt romney can or will win. the path to him getting 1144 delegates before the convention i don't think is a coronation. i don't think that's the case at all. if i'm newt, i'm going to go from texas to west virginia and build a fence around the south where they have huge delegate states and i'm going to try to stop mitt romney there beginning on super tuesday.

>> bottom of our screen it says gingrich 46 or bust. many have noted when he says 46, that's not accurate. he's not on the ballot in missouri and virginia. does that is also hurt him a little bit? as you pointed out, you know, you've got to play, i don't like saying the big boy , but you've got to play to win , whatever you are.

>> sure. i think virginia hurts more because it's his home state. missouri has kind of a convoluted system. rick santorum is not on the ballot therein an he's campaigned there. i'm not sure we know what's going to happen yet in missouri . the key for newt is texas to west virginia . if you look at the delegate counts in these states, here's one example. mitt romney won 50 delegates last night in florida . north carolina has 55. alabama has 50 delegates. those are winner take all states. so what newt gingrich has got to do is get mitt romney down in the south , the real south , not the more metropolitan diverse south . if you look at the exit polling last night.

>> you're talking south as in south carolina , that kind of south .

>> yes, that kind of south . here's something that your viewers should keep in mind looking through a general election . one-fourth of romney 's vote of last night came from palm beach , broward and miami-dade counties. i think every msnbc viewer understand a republican in a general election is not going to win those three counties over barack obama . if i'm newt gingrich , i want to take on mitt romney in places like the northern panhandle in florida which is states like louisiana, texas , mississippi, alabama, georgia,et al.

>> he needs to hire you

Source: http://video.msnbc.msn.com/newsnation/46224530/

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